Paper Title
Wheat Production in India: Adaptability to Climate Change and Future Prospects
Abstract
Wheat among cereals is the major food crop produced and consumed in India. Wheat is mostly cultivated in northern plains and
has substantially high nutritional value. Over the years, climate change has however, adversely affected the productivity of food crops
including wheat. Considering these, an attempt has been made to assess the impact of climate change on wheat, and to find a relationship
between factors responsible for climate change and wheat production in India. Forecasting for 10 years has been made on the basis of data of
25 years (1994-2018)employing the Box-Jenkin ARIMA model of the total production and total consumption of wheat in India. The
ARIMA model of production selected for this study is of the order (1,1,0) and for consumption, it is of the order (0,1,2). The present finding
will help in suggesting whether India will be self-sufficient in total wheat production against the consistently increasing demand of wheat for
human consumption or not.
Keywords - Climate Change; Wheat; Productivity; Sustainability; ARIMA Model